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Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

June 30
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $353 Open interest $21.7K Event Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
2%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 14% · Low 1% · 7d -5.9pp · 30d -3.0pp
14%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

December 31
8% YES
24h vol $5

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.