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Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?

June 30
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $106 Open interest $8.8K Event Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 85 days · High 12% · Low 1% · 7d +5.3pp · 30d -68.2pp
12%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

December 31
17% YES
24h vol $12

Recent news mentioning this market

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.