polymarket
World
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
December 31
17%
implied YES probability
+0.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 86 days ·
High 42% ·
Low 15%
· 7d +6.2pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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