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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $254 Open interest $18.3K Event Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
48%
implied YES probability
+8.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 86 days · High 60% · Low 24% · 7d -31.9pp · 30d +20.3pp
60%24%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.