What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Tom Weiler be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Tom Weiler

Closes Aug 11, 2026 (54d) 24h volume $140 Open interest $4.0K Event Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

implied YES probability

+1.1pp 24h

Price history

Last 87 days · High 2% · Low 0% · 7d +40.0pp · 30d +40.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.