polymarket
Politics
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
April 30
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 44 days ·
High 11% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -95.0pp
· 30d -98.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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US Draft Deal Includes Financial Incentives for Iran | Balance of Power: Late Edition 06/16/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 5h ago
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BMW cuts 2026 outlook on China downturn, Iran war
Investing.com · 12h ago
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SpaceX Shares Surge, US & Iran Prepare for Deal Signing | The Opening Trade 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 18h ago
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