polymarket
Politics
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
June 30
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 85 days ·
High 50% ·
Low 1%
· 7d -47.4pp
· 30d -70.6pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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US Draft Deal Includes Financial Incentives for Iran | Balance of Power: Late Edition 06/16/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 4h ago
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IBD · 9h ago
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BMW cuts 2026 outlook on China downturn, Iran war
Investing.com · 11h ago
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US-Iran accord signing planned for June 19 in Switzerland, Swiss govt says
Investing.com · 13h ago
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The Outlook For S&P 500 Dividends In June 2026
Seeking Alpha News · 14h ago
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