What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Business

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Sundar Pichai - Google

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume $297 Open interest $33.2K Event Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

implied YES probability

-1.7pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 26% · Low 3% · 7d +9.4pp · 30d +17.2pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.