polymarket Technology

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?

July 23
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $844 Open interest $20.9K Event Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
2%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 14 days · High 22% · Low 0% · 7d -78.3pp
22%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

No release by July 31
27% YES
24h vol $4.6K
July 29
26% YES
24h vol $119
July 28
17% YES
24h vol $143
July 21
13% YES
24h vol $667
July 17
8% YES
24h vol $4.2K
July 30
7% YES
24h vol $250
July 22
3% YES
24h vol $516
July 24
3% YES
24h vol $513

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.