What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Technology

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Apple

Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $410 Open interest $8.2K Event 3rd Largest Company end of July?

28%

implied YES probability

-5.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 16 days · High 58% · Low 31% · 7d -29.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

AAPL Apple Inc.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.