polymarket Technology

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?

June 25
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume $12 Open interest $13.9K Event Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 16 days · High 48% · Low 0% · 7d -29.2pp
48%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

June 30
65% YES
24h vol $1.9K
No release by June 30
15% YES
24h vol $296
June 23
13% YES
24h vol $20
June 24
1% YES
24h vol $283
June 22
0% YES
24h vol $125
June 29
0% YES
24h vol $381
June 16
0% YES
24h vol $2.7K
June 15
0% YES
24h vol $10

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.