What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 39%, implying a 39% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Nithya Raman

Closes Jun 02, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $2.1K Open interest $2.7M Event Los Angeles Mayoral Election

39%

implied YES probability

-0.8pp 24h

Price history

Last 90 days · High 60% · Low 4% · 7d -5.0pp · 30d +134.4pp

How this market resolves

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Other outcomes in this event

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