polymarket
Politics
Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Sian Astley
4%
implied YES probability
-3.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 11 days ·
High 8% ·
Low 6%
· 7d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Other outcomes in this event
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