What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?

Paul Seixas

Closes Aug 09, 2026 (31d) 24h volume $17.2K Open interest $213.9K Event Tour De France 2026: Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 8 days · High 49% · Low 1% · 7d -98.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the cyclist that wins the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to win the 2026 Men Elite at the Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.