polymarket
Sports
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?
Tadej Pogačar
94%
implied YES probability
+8.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 8 days ·
High 86% ·
Low 50%
· 7d +72.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the cyclist that wins the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to win the 2026 Men Elite at the Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Related stocks
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.