polymarket Technology

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

NVIDIA
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $54.1K Open interest $626.1K Event Largest Company end of July?
86%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 16 days · High 92% · Low 78% · 7d -5.0pp
92%78%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Company E
50% YES
24h vol —
Company B
50% YES
24h vol —
Company H
50% YES
24h vol —
Company K
50% YES
24h vol —
Company L
50% YES
24h vol —
Company R
50% YES
24h vol —
Company C
50% YES
24h vol —
Company I
50% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing NVIDIA at an 88% probability to be the largest company in the world by market capitalization on July 31, 2026. This assessment is based on current market conditions and publicly available information about NVIDIA's financial performance and industry trends. The market is asking whether NVIDIA will surpass other companies in terms of market value by the end of July 2026. Known facts that inform the current price include NVIDIA's strong track record in the technology sector, its significant revenue growth, and its expanding presence in emerging markets such as artificial intelligence and cloud computing. A change in these factors or new information about competitors could potentially impact the price, causing it to move up or down.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

Related stocks

NVDA Nvidia Corp

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.