What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Brad Bradford

Closes Oct 26, 2026 (108d) 24h volume $37 Open interest $15.9K Event Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

24%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 30% · Low 10% · 7d -5.9pp · 30d +77.8pp

How this market resolves

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.