polymarket
Science
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
John Pardon
50%
implied YES probability
-15.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 71% ·
Low 30%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d +70.4pp
How this market resolves
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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