Angel Studios, Inc.(ANGX)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

ANGX $4.49
Snapshot
$4.49
52-Week Range
$2.04 – $20.39
YTD
-7.04%
IV Rank (30D)
9.16
Straddle Price
$1.20
P/C Vol Ratio
0.07
Market Cap
$0.8B
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.73%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.23% (VRP-adj)
WACC9.80%
Volatility Risk Premium+71.7pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+30.0%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$-0.1B
Return on Equity (TTM)531.0%
Book / Price-4.1%
Gross Margin (TTM)57.9%
FCF Margin (TTM)-15.6%
Quality Score3/6 — normal (10y DCF)
SMA 50$4.07 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$4.35
Bollinger Width / SMA20546.3% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$0.0B
Market Cap$1B
Model Conviction
55%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 1, 2026
$4.59
α +2.2% rank 38%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 30, 2026
$4.86
α +8.2% rank 38%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 30, 2026
$4.26
α -5.1% rank 38%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0%
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0%
Peer P/B n/a 0%
Peer P/S n/a 0%
Market Anchor (SMA50) $4.07 100% stability 63% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-09-02 · updated
Info
Industry (SIC)
SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION (7812)
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$0.8B

Angel Studios Inc is an entertainment company known for crowd-funded films and television projects. It enables creators to share projects and engage audiences directly. The platform allows fans to invest in and promote productions, fostering a community-driven approach to content creation.

Summary
composite
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan -16.35% 1
Feb +0.51% 1
Mar -19.42% 1
Apr -15.46% 1
May -1.77% 1
Jun +33.45% 1
Jul +11.23% 1
Aug +4.47% 1
Sep -28.63% 2
Oct +7.74% 1
Nov -23.63% 1
Dec +5.66% 1
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $4.38
SMA 50: $4.13
SMA 200: $3.79
Current: $4.49
EMA 12: $4.41
EMA 26: $4.32
MACD: 0.0943 | Signal: -0.0244
BULLISH
ADX (14): 21.74
WEAK TREND
+DI: 31.96
−DI: 21.51

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 54.93
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 33.97
Stoch %D: 35.44
Williams %R: -68.29

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $4.89
BB Lower: $3.86
NEUTRAL
OBV: -620,692
Vol SMA 20: 1,471,478
Vol ROC: 4.92%
ATR: $0.28
True Range: $0.25
HV 20: 86.6%
HV 30: 82.1%
HV 60: 74.0%

Data Summary

Data Points: 247
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-09-11T00:00:00 – 2026-09-03T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
3 of 4 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
22.48%
Avg Actual Move
13.14%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2025-11-13 After-Close 26.59% 11.57% 0.44x Within
2026-03-12 After-Close 21.16% 17.37% 0.82x Within
2026-04-30 After-Close 15.27% 18.70% 1.22x Exceeded
2026-08-04 After-Close 26.91% 4.93% 0.18x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
9.16
IV Rank (7D)
28.82
Avg IV
112.3%
Straddle (30D)
$1.20
Straddle (7D)
$0.72
P/C Volume
0.07
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
1.86
Correlation (SPY)
20.8%
0.04
Ann. Volatility
115.7%
SPY Volatility
12.9%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 166,415,002 (as of 2026-06-30)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

144 filers44,555,804 shares$165.11M value26.77% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Gigafund Management Company, LLC 19,459,882 $71.42M 43.26% 11.69% 2026-06-30
2 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 3,915,068 $14.37M 8.70% 2.35% 2026-06-30
3 PEAK6 LLC 2,593,933 $9.52M 5.77% 1.56% 2026-06-30
4 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 1,345,011 $6.28M 3.80% 0.81% 2025-12-31
5 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 1,387,172 $5.09M 3.08% 0.83% 2026-06-30
6 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 1,373,228 $5.04M 3.05% 0.83% 2026-06-30
7 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 1,145,922 $4.21M 2.55% 0.69% 2026-06-30
8 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1,107,342 $4.06M 2.46% 0.67% 2026-06-30
9 Sepio Capital, LP 959,485 $3.52M 2.13% 0.58% 2026-06-30
10 Diversify Advisory Services, LLC 700,712 $3.06M 1.85% 0.42% 2026-06-30
11 DIVERSIFY WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC 700,712 $3.06M 1.85% 0.42% 2026-06-30
12 Harvest Investment Services, LLC 706,776 $2.59M 1.57% 0.42% 2026-06-30
13 MMBG INVESTMENT ADVISORS CO. 597,543 $2.19M 1.33% 0.36% 2026-06-30
14 LPL Financial LLC Custodian 595,665 $2.19M 1.32% 0.36% 2026-06-30
15 CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 559,211 $2.05M 1.24% 0.34% 2026-06-30
16 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 522,801 $1.92M 1.16% 0.31% 2026-06-30
17 VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO 520,666 $1.91M 1.16% 0.31% 2026-06-30
18 STATE STREET CORP 466,500 $1.71M 1.04% 0.28% 2026-06-30
19 AWM Investment Company, Inc. 458,379 $1.68M 1.02% 0.28% 2026-06-30
20 Americana Partners, LLC 389,481 $1.43M 0.87% 0.23% 2026-06-30
21 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian 378,068 $1.39M 0.84% 0.23% 2026-06-30
22 TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL 335,035 $1.23M 0.74% 0.20% 2026-06-30
23 Diametric Capital, LP 329,386 $1.21M 0.73% 0.20% 2026-06-30
24 Paloma Partners Management Co 325,000 $1.19M 0.72% 0.20% 2026-06-30
25 Shay Capital LLC 285,000 $1.05M 0.63% 0.17% 2026-06-30
6 filers$1.18M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $468.29K 39.83% 2026-06-30
2 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $280.75K 23.88% 2026-06-30
3 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $213.23K 18.13% 2026-06-30
4 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $171.39K 14.58% 2026-06-30
5 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $41.47K 3.53% 2026-06-30
6 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $734 0.06% 2026-06-30
6 filers$543.53K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $194.51K 35.79% 2026-06-30
2 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $104.23K 19.18% 2026-06-30
3 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $79.27K 14.58% 2026-06-30
4 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $78.17K 14.38% 2026-06-30
5 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $49.18K 9.05% 2026-06-30
6 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $38.17K 7.02% 2026-06-30
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-08-17
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-08-17 Steven I Sarowitz Director Buy (P) +57,922 $4.26 $246.8K EDGAR
2026-08-17 Jeffrey Harmon Chief Content Officer Buy (P) +230,080 $4.12 $948.7K EDGAR
2026-08-17 Neal Harmon Chief Executive Officer Buy (P) +29,193 $4.28 $125.0K EDGAR
2026-08-14 Neal Harmon Chief Executive Officer Buy (P) +29,035 $4.31 $125.0K EDGAR
2026-08-14 Steven I Sarowitz Director Buy (P) +353,815 $3.83 $1.36M EDGAR
2026-08-03 Elizabeth Ellis Chief Operating Officer Exer (M) +129,812 $0.16 $20.8K EDGAR
2026-07-24 Benton Deloss Crane Director Exer (M) +2,648 EDGAR
2026-07-24 ROBERT C GAY Director Exer (M) +2,648 EDGAR
2026-07-24 Steven I Sarowitz Director Exer (M) +2,648 EDGAR
2026-07-24 Katie Liljenquist Director Exer (M) +2,648 EDGAR
2026-07-01 Jeffrey Harmon Chief Content Officer Gift (G) −5,073,000 EDGAR
2026-07-01 Neal Harmon Chief Executive Officer Gift (G) −5,073,000 EDGAR
2026-05-26 ROBERT C GAY Director Exer (M) +5,296 EDGAR
2026-05-07 Steven I Sarowitz Director Buy (P) +321,544 $3.06 $982.6K EDGAR
2026-04-24 Katie Liljenquist Director Exer (M) +2,648 EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
11 insiders · @ $4.49
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Stephen D. Oskoui 10%+ Owner 19,571,156 $87.87M $0 3 2026-03-09
2 Neal Harmon Chief Executive Officer 3,362,259 $15.10M $250.0K 4 2026-08-17
3 Jeffrey Harmon Chief Content Officer 3,261,393 $14.64M $948.7K 3 2026-08-17
4 Paul Ahlstrom Director 2,166,330 $9.73M $0 4 2026-04-24
5 Steven I Sarowitz Director 741,225 $3.33M $2.58M 7 2026-08-17
6 Elizabeth Ellis Chief Operating Officer 310,325 $1.39M $0 3 2026-08-03
7 Benton Deloss Crane Director 207,944 $933.7K $0 4 2026-07-24
8 Katie Liljenquist Director 58,297 $261.8K $0 4 2026-07-24
9 ROBERT C GAY Director 7,944 $35.7K $0 3 2026-07-24
10 Trang T Nguyen Director 5,296 $23.8K $0 3 2026-04-24
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio-28.8
P/S Ratio2.0
EV/EBITDA-8.3
TTM Revenue$0.4B
TTM Net Income$-0.2B
TTM EPS$-0.95
ROE531.0%
Debt/Equity-2.56