Zacks Investment ResearchT3·29mo ago
DEI Douglas Emmett, Inc.
XNYS
9.76
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
DEI
$9.76
—
Key stats
$9.76
- 52-Week Range
- $9.04 – $13.87
- YTD
- -11.83%
- Straddle Price
- $1.32
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.09
- Market Cap
- $1.6B
- Open
- $9.62
- Day Range
- $9.53 – $9.88
- Volume
- 2,210,162
- Prev Close
- $9.60
Fair Value
MODEL: LONG
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.21% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.19% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 6.42% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +55.8pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -0.6% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.1B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -1.4% |
| Book / Price | 213.4% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 72.3% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -8.7% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.62 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $10.76 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $9.82 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 108.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $5.2B |
| Market Cap | $2B |
Peers used for multiples: BXP, CDP, CUZ, DEA, HIW, KRC, PLD, VNO
60-Day Conviction
55%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 16, 2026
$9.82
α +0.6%
rank 59%
conviction
38%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 15, 2026
$9.98
α +2.3%
rank 74%
conviction
66%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 13, 2027
$9.90
α +1.4%
rank 69%
conviction
55%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $7.01 | 22% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 30.3× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $13.70 | 8% | median 12.8× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $24.18 | 11% | median 1.2× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $21.87 | 11% | median 3.6× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $10.76 | 47% | stability 85% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $8.29 | 0% | 5 strikes · skew +0.36 |
As of 2026-10-16 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (6798) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $1.6B
- Employees
- 778
- List Date
- 2006-10-25
- CIK
- 0001364250
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-03 (After-Close)
- EPS Forecast
- $0.34 (4 est.)
- Headquarters
- Santa Monica, CA
- Homepage
- https://www.douglasemmett.com
Douglas Emmett Inc is an integrated, self-administered, and self-managed REIT. The group focuses on owning, acquiring, developing, and managing a substantial market share of office properties and multifamily communities in neighborhoods with supply constraints, high-end executive housing, and key lifestyle amenities. Its properties are located in the Beverly Hills, Brentwood, Burbank, Century City, Olympic Corridor, Santa Monica, Sherman Oaks/Encino, Warner Center/Woodland Hills and Westwood submarkets of Los Angeles County, California, and in Honolulu, Hawaii. It has two business segments: th…
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -1.39% | -10.16% | 10.05% | -8.69% | -2.08% | -4.61% | -2.81% |
| Feb | 17.05% | -0.47% | -17.03% | 0.00% | -4.16% | -4.35% | -1.49% |
| Mar | -5.79% | 5.59% | -12.92% | 3.35% | -4.82% | -3.09% | -2.95% |
| Apr | 3.90% | -12.74% | 5.14% | 2.85% | -14.73% | 17.12% | 0.26% |
| May | 6.02% | -3.18% | -8.16% | 3.79% | 0.14% | 6.40% | 0.83% |
| Jun | -6.87% | -18.50% | 11.24% | -3.76% | 5.84% | 1.90% | -1.69% |
| Jul | -1.01% | 3.32% | 11.96% | 21.62% | -1.69% | -2.72% | 5.25% |
| Aug | 0.43% | -16.69% | -5.40% | 1.78% | 8.72% | -2.86% | -2.34% |
| Sep | -5.53% | -7.91% | -9.05% | 11.34% | -3.83% | -16.04% | -5.17% |
| Oct | 1.71% | -2.82% | -9.23% | 1.43% | -18.05% | 0.51%* | -4.41% |
| Nov | -2.21% | -0.63% | 6.63% | 10.50% | -5.94% | -- | 1.67% |
| Dec | 5.71% | -7.93% | 7.01% | -3.58% | -9.40% | -- | -1.64% |
| Total | 10.16% | -54.18% | -14.79% | 44.40% | -42.05% | -10.46% | -11.16% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $9.79
SMA 50: $10.73
SMA 200: $10.94
Current: $9.76
EMA 12: $9.75
EMA 26: $10.04
MACD: -0.2928 | Signal: 0.0506
BEARISH
ADX (14): 38.99
TREND
+DI: 16.42
−DI: 27.31
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 42.68
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 36.99
Stoch %D: 37.60
Williams %R: -38.73
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $10.28
BB Lower: $9.31
NEUTRAL
OBV: -104,063,686
Vol SMA 20: 2,361,950
Vol ROC: -10.03%
ATR: $0.32
True Range: $0.35
HV 20: 34.9%
HV 30: 31.5%
HV 60: 27.1%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-18T00:00:00 – 2026-10-16T00:00:00
AI Analysis
DOUGLAS EMMETT INC. (DEI) - COMPREHENSIVE STOCK ANALYSIS
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH | Confidence Level: 7/10
Douglas Emmett is exhibiting conflicting technical signals in a deteriorating trend environment. While the options market shows bullish sentiment (47:1 call/put volume ratio) and the stock carries defensive characteristics (beta 0.68), the technical setup reveals a strong downtrend (-DI 28.83 vs +DI 12.49, ADX 42.75) with negative momentum (MACD -0.43, histogram -0.45) and declining volume conviction (Volume ROC -17.33%). The real estate sector headwinds documented in recent news, combined with technical weakness below key moving averages, outweigh the modest oversold conditions.
Key Drivers:
- Primary bearish driver: Strong directional downtrend with deteriorating momentum despite oversold RSI readings
- Secondary concern: Negative volume trends and OBV weakness (-103.1M cumulative)
- Mitigating factor: Defensive beta (0.68) and earnings beat sentiment from Q1 2024
Investment Thesis: DEI exhibits classic bear trap characteristics—superficially oversold on RSI (35.76) but trapped in a structural downtrend with bearish directional indicators and volume deterioration. Recent Q1 earnings beats (May 7, 2024) failed to sustain price recovery, suggesting fundamental concerns may be masked by sector headwinds in commercial real estate. The risk/reward favors shorting rallies into resistance rather than initiating long positions at current levels.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction Analysis
Short-Term (1-4 weeks): BEARISH
- Price $9.81 trading below all major moving averages (SMA 20: $10.10, SMA 50: $11.08, SMA 200: $10.99)
- Negative directional momentum: -DI (28.83) significantly exceeds +DI (12.49) by 16.34 points
- ADX reading of 42.75 indicates a strong, established downtrend with high conviction
- EMA 12 ($9.89) has crossed below EMA 26 ($10.32), confirming bearish momentum
Medium-Term (1-3 months): BEARISH
- Price trading 10.9% below the 50-day MA ($11.08) and 10.7% below 200-day MA ($10.99)
- The 200-day MA ($10.99) acting as formidable resistance, suggesting longer-term downtrend intact
- SMA 20 trending downward from recent highs, indicating accelerating weakness
Long-Term (3-12 months): NEUTRAL-TO-BEARISH
- 200-day MA at $10.99 suggests consolidation around this level historically
- Current price-to-200MA ratio (89.3%) indicates severe underperformance
- Insufficient data to determine multi-quarter trends, but relative positioning suggests sector cyclicality concerns
Support/Resistance Levels
| Level | Type | Significance | Notes | |-------|------|--------------|-------| | $9.29 | Support | Bollinger Band Lower | Technical floor; break below triggers further downside | | $9.81 | Current | Pivot Point | Testing lower support boundary | | $10.10 | Resistance | SMA 20 | Immediate overhead resistance; recent rejection point | | $10.32 | Resistance | EMA 26 | Secondary overhead resistance | | $10.91 | Resistance | Bollinger Upper Band | Strong technical ceiling | | $11.08 | Resistance | SMA 50 | Major moving average confluence | | $11.08-$11.99 | Resistance | Historical Range | Gap-fill and sector recovery zone |
Critical Observation: Price has failed to reclaim the SMA 20 on recent bounces, suggesting institutional sellers are using rallies as distribution points.
Momentum Signals
RSI (14): 35.76 — NEUTRAL-TO-OVERSOLD
- Reading of 35.76 sits in the neutral zone (30-70 range) but approaching oversold threshold (<30)
- Interpretation: While not technically oversold, RSI suggests momentum exhaustion without capitulation
- Risk Signal: Classic bear trap setup—oversold readings don't guarantee reversals in strong downtrends
- RSI has likely bounced from recent lows but failed to generate conviction above 50 (neutral midpoint), indicating sellers remain in control
MACD: -0.43 / Signal Line: 0.02 / Histogram: -0.45 — BEARISH
- Histogram of -0.45 indicates MACD (fast line) remains substantially below signal line (slow line)
- Negative histogram expanding suggests bearish momentum is strengthening, not weakening
- MACD has not executed bullish crossover; the 0.02 signal line remains above the -0.43 MACD line
- Critical Risk: MACD histogram negative and expanding = classic confirmation of downtrend acceleration
Stochastic Oscillators: %K 31.78 / %D 27.17 — OVERSOLD
- Both %K and %D readings below 50, with %K at 31.78 approaching oversold territory
- %K (31.78) above %D (27.17) suggests potential early bullish crossover forming
- Caveat: Oversold stochastic readings in strong downtrends (ADX 42.75) frequently lead to further capitulation rather than reversals
Williams %R: -63.00 — OVERSOLD
- Reading between -50 and -80 indicates oversold conditions
- Similar to RSI/Stochastic, oversold readings in strong downtrends are warning signals, not buy signals
Momentum Conclusion: Multiple momentum indicators (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R) suggest technical oversold conditions, but MACD divergence and directional strength (-DI dominance) indicate oversold bounce potential is limited. The combination suggests any rally will encounter heavy selling at the SMA 20 ($10.10).
Bollinger Bands Analysis
Current Position: NEUTRAL-TO-BEARISH
- Price: $9.81
- Upper Band: $10.91 (11.2% overhead)
- Middle (20 SMA): $10.10
- Lower Band: $9.29 (5.3% downside)
- Band Width: 16.09 (16.09% of middle band)
Interpretation:
- Bollinger Band width of 16.09% indicates moderate volatility, neither squeezed nor excessively expanded
- Price position near lower band (87% distance to lower band) suggests mean reversion potential
- However, mean reversion to middle band ($10.10) would only provide $0.29 rally (3.0% upside), while downside break carries $0.52 (5.3%) continuation risk
- Key Signal: Lower band at $9.29 represents critical support; break below suggests institutional capitulation
Volume Analysis
Volume SMA 20: 2,418,004 shares
- Current volume context: No real-time volume data, but historical 20-day average of 2.4M shares
- Volume Rate of Change: -17.33% — Critical bearish signal
- Negative volume ROC indicates trading volume is declining meaningfully below 20-day average
- This suggests weak selling pressure, indicating forced liquidation or indifference rather than conviction
On-Balance Volume (OBV): -103,140,992.85
- Highly negative OBV suggests cumulative selling volume has substantially exceeded buying volume over analyzed period
- OBV declining sharply indicates institutional distribution or panic selling
- This diverges from momentum indicators — RSI/Stochastic suggest exhaustion, but OBV suggests selling continuation
Institutional Interest Assessment:
- Declining volume on selloff (-17.33% volume ROC) suggests weak institutional support
- However, high call/put volume ratio (47:1) indicates retail/options traders are buying dips
- Potential institutional supply meeting retail demand = classic distribution pattern
Volume Conclusion: Volume deterioration combined with negative OBV indicates institutional conviction on downside with weakening selling pressure. This creates a dangerous environment where any technical bounce could trigger capitulation selling.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary
Theme Analysis (Last 10 articles):
- Q1 2024 Earnings (May 6-7, 2024) — NEUTRAL
- Douglas Emmett reported Q
Generated
News
All DEI news →
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Showing 1–10 of 50
Page 1 of 5
Earnings History
16 of 16 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
9.82%
Avg Actual Move
3.07%
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-04 | After-Close | 5.84% | 3.63% | 0.62x | Within |
| 2022-08-01 | After-Close | 16.86% | 2.65% | 0.16x | Within |
| 2023-05-02 | After-Close | 16.76% | 5.51% | 0.33x | Within |
| 2023-08-01 | After-Close | 8.86% | 1.52% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2023-10-31 | After-Close | 14.36% | 2.23% | 0.16x | Within |
| 2024-02-06 | After-Close | 9.51% | 2.75% | 0.29x | Within |
| 2024-05-07 | After-Close | 6.77% | 1.38% | 0.20x | Within |
| 2024-08-08 | After-Close | 5.57% | 2.88% | 0.52x | Within |
| 2024-11-04 | After-Close | 5.28% | 2.67% | 0.51x | Within |
| 2025-02-04 | After-Close | 6.56% | 0.89% | 0.14x | Within |
| 2025-05-06 | After-Close | 10.52% | 3.42% | 0.33x | Within |
| 2025-08-05 | After-Close | 6.94% | 2.91% | 0.42x | Within |
| 2025-11-04 | After-Close | 6.62% | 4.75% | 0.72x | Within |
| 2026-02-10 | After-Close | 10.37% | 3.20% | 0.31x | Within |
| 2026-05-05 | After-Close | 18.76% | 7.41% | 0.39x | Within |
| 2026-08-04 | After-Close | 7.53% | 1.34% | 0.18x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
DEI Options Activity & IV Rank
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: —
7-DTE IV: —
Expected Move: $1.32
7-DTE Move: $0.73
Days to Exp: 35 (2026-11-20)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 1,046
Put Volume: 89
P/C Volume: 0.085
BULLISH
Call OI: 5,807
Put OI: 80
P/C OI: 0.014
Total OI: 5,887
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $0.47
ATM Put: $0.85
Call %: 4.9%
Put %: 8.7%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 1,889
Chain OI: 32,302
Last Updated: 10/16/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 62nd percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
62%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.67
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.83
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.93
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.83: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.93: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.
? What is this?
· 4 ATM contracts, 7k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
No data
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
ATM 43.5% / Wing —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$1.32Oct 16
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 0.6431
Alpha: -38.03%
Correlation: 0.2723
R-Squared: 7.4%
Stock Volatility: 30.1%
Market Volatility: 12.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own DEI
5 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $22.1M | #1065 of 3716 | -18.4% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $17.7M | #523 of 4729 | +6.1% | 13F | |
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $17.0M | #782 of 3138 | new | 13F | |
| Point72 Hedge fund Steve Cohen | $10.5M | #750 of 1945 | +48.2% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $1.3M | #3357 of 6285 | -83.7% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
DEI Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 167,451,750 (as of 2026-03-31)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
7 filers$27.55M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LANDMARK INVESTMENT PARTNERS, L.P. | $19.25M | 69.87% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $4.13M | 14.98% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $2.18M | 7.93% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $1.25M | 4.55% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $427.16K | 1.55% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $307.98K | 1.12% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.18K | <0.01% | 2026-06-30 |
6 filers$7.43M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $3.38M | 45.47% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $3.07M | 41.32% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $359.44K | 4.84% | 2025-09-30 |
| 4 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $233.64K | 3.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $231.28K | 3.11% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $156.94K | 2.11% | 2026-06-30 |
DEI Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-04-10Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Jordan L Kaplan | Chairman and CEO | Grant (A) | +1,000,000 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-10 | Kenneth M Panzer | President and COO | Grant (A) | +1,000,000 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-02-18 | Jordan L Kaplan | Chairman and CEO | Buy (P) | +98,000 | $10.18 | $997.6K | EDGAR |
| 2025-12-17 | William E Simon Jr | Director | Grant (A) | +18,852 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Hern Thomas E O | Director | Grant (A) | +20,780 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Leslie E Bider | Director | Grant (A) | +20,138 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Dorene Dominguez | Director | Grant (A) | +18,852 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Peter Seymour | CFO | Grant (A) | +214,225 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Kevin Andrew Crummy | Chief Investment Officer | Grant (A) | +124,251 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Jordan L Kaplan | Chairman and CEO | Grant (A) | +1,011,140 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Shirley Wang | Director | Grant (A) | +18,852 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Kenneth M Panzer | President and COO | Grant (A) | +1,011,140 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Virginia McFerran | Director | Grant (A) | +20,138 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-17 | Michele L Aronson | EVP, GEN COUNSEL & SECRETARY | Grant (A) | +222,794 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-11-18 | Michele L Aronson | EVP, GEN COUNSEL & SECRETARY | Buy (P) | +42,126 | $11.69 | $492.6K | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
DEI Insider Holdings
8 insiders · @ $9.76
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth M Panzer | President and COO | 5,029,959 | $49.09M | -$37.62M | 29 | 2026-04-10 |
| 2 | Jordan L Kaplan | Chairman and CEO | 2,949,640 | $28.79M | $3.99M | 31 | 2026-04-10 |
| 3 | Dan A Emmett | Chairman of the Board | 838,446 | $8.18M | -$314.69M | 133 | 2024-12-13 |
| 4 | Shirley Wang | Director | 284,000 | $2.77M | $6.01M | 5 | 2025-12-17 |
| 5 | Leslie E Bider | Director | 175,000 | $1.71M | $1.60M | 25 | 2025-12-17 |
| 6 | Hern Thomas E O | Director | 49,048 | $478.7K | $0 | 27 | 2025-12-17 |
| 7 | William E Simon Jr | Director | 45,000 | $439.2K | $1.77M | 27 | 2025-12-17 |
| 8 | Michele L Aronson | EVP, GEN COUNSEL & SECRETARY | 42,126 | $411.1K | $492.6K | 4 | 2025-12-17 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
DEI Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2023-12-06
? Form 144 Guide
Last 30d:
0 filings
· Last 90d:
0 filings
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-06 | SIMON WILLIAM E JR | Director | 91,000 | $1.23M | 2023-12-06 | UBS Financial Services | — | EDGAR |
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
ETF Holders
79 ETFs hold DEI
25 shown · $425.00M total exposure · 0.07% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $75.7M | $102.9B | 2026-10-14 |
| 2 | VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | Vanguard | 0.09% | $57.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $48.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $34.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 5 | IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $29.9M | $78.9B | 2026-10-14 |
| 6 | VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $22.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 7 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $18.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | SPSM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 600™ Small Cap ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.09% | $14.2M | $15.5B | 2026-10-14 |
| 9 | SCHH Schwab U.S. REIT ETF | Nport | 0.14% | $13.8M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 10 | IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.18% | $13.2M | $7.5B | 2026-10-14 |
| 11 | IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.09% | $12.5M | $13.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 12 | FNDA Schwab Fundamental U.S. Small Company ETF | Nport | 0.12% | $10.5M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 13 | DFAR Dimensional US Real Estate ETF | Dimensional | 0.12% | $9.8M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 14 | SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.04% | $9.4M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 15 | VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF | Vanguard | 0.05% | $9.2M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 16 | KBWY Invesco KBW Premium Yield Equity REIT ETF | Invesco | 3.17% | $8.7M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 17 | SLYV State Street® SPDR® S&P 600™ Small Cap Value ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.17% | $8.1M | $4.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 18 | VIOO Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF | Vanguard | 0.09% | $5.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 19 | USRT iShares Core U.S. REIT ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.12% | $4.9M | $4.2B | 2026-10-14 |
| 20 | REET iShares Global REIT ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $3.5M | $4.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 21 | VIOV Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.18% | $3.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 22 | FYX First Trust Small Cap Core AlphaDEX® Fund | First Trust | 0.25% | $3.3M | $1.3B | 2026-10-14 |
| 23 | DFGR Dimensional Global Real Estate ETF | Dimensional | 0.08% | $2.9M | $3.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 24 | RWR State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® REIT ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.16% | $2.8M | $1.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 25 | BBRE JPMorgan BetaBuilders MSCI US REIT ETF | JPMorgan | 0.20% | $2.4M | $1.2B | 2026-10-15 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
$-0.17
TTM Revenue
$1.00B
TTM Net Income
$-28.28M
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$324.21M
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $250.96M | $-2.94M | $-0.02 | $116.94M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | $249.43M | $-8.31M | $-0.04 | $63.16M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-09-30 | $250.58M | $-10.85M | $-0.07 | $109.77M |
| Q2 '25 | 2025-06-30 | $252.43M | $-6.17M | $-0.04 | $34.35M |
| Q1 '25 | 2025-03-31 | $251.53M | $39.37M | $0.24 | $132.64M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | $244.98M | $-2.27M | $-0.01 | $74.10M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-09-30 | $250.75M | $4.62M | $0.03 | $103.70M |
| Q2 '24 | 2024-06-30 | $245.78M | $10.54M | $0.06 | $92.33M |
| Q1 '24 | 2024-03-31 | $244.97M | $8.56M | $0.05 | $138.55M |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | $259.28M | $-41.65M | $-0.24 | $94.23M |
| Q3 '23 | 2023-09-30 | $255.41M | $-13.36M | $-0.08 | $91.39M |
| Q2 '23 | 2023-06-30 | $253.41M | $-7.54M | $-0.04 | $95.64M |
Q1 2026 • period ending 2026-03-31 • filed 2026-05-08
Valuation
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
Price Multiples
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
—
P/B
0.48
P/S
1.63
EV/EBITDA
11.67
EV/Sales
6.82
ROE
-0.8%
ROA
-0.3%
Div Yield
7.92%
FCF Yield
19.84%
Debt/Equity
1.62
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$1.63B
as of 2026-10-16
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
31.48M
SI % of Float
19.48%
Days to Cover
11.79
Short Vol Ratio
61.3%
Free Float
161.62M
Float %
96.5%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-16 • Float 2026-05-14