PubMatic, Inc. Class A Common Stock (PUBM) Stock Quote & Options Analysis | Frenzy Capital
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $6.15 – $13.88
- YTD
- +15.40%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 11.8
- Straddle Price
- $1.73
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.31
- Market Cap
- $0.5B
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. (7370)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $0.5B
PubMatic Inc is is an independent, artificial intelligence-powered advertising technology company that delivers digital advertising performance. Its integrated technology platform connects buyers, publishers, data providers, and commerce media networks on a single, unified platform, to deliver advertising performance, control, transparency and efficiency. Its platform empowers the world's digital content creators (publishers) to maximize monetization of their advertising inventory and audiences and provides control and transparency to buyers, which includes advertisers, agencies, agency tradin…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -1.11% | 6 |
| Feb | +12.35% | 6 |
| Mar | +4.87% | 6 |
| Apr | +4.40% | 6 |
| May | +0.43% | 6 |
| Jun | +3.62% | 5 |
| Jul | +1.18% | 5 |
| Aug | -7.95% | 5 |
| Sep | -8.52% | 5 |
| Oct | +6.78% | 5 |
| Nov | +17.59% | 5 |
| Dec | -7.85% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers and Primary Risks:
- Technical momentum is neutral, with RSI in a neutral range.
- Beta indicates high volatility, which may impact investment decisions.
- Recent news headlines suggest positive sentiment, but no clear catalysts driving significant moves.
Investment Thesis: PUBM's stock price has been volatile, driven by technical momentum and recent news. The current neutral trend is expected to continue, with potential for upside or downside movements based on market conditions.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news headlines from recent months have contributed to the stock's price movement, but no clear catalysts have emerged to drive significant moves.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Neutral
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bearish
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $10.68
- Middle Band: $9.83
- Lower Band: $8.98
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral range (55.1%)
- MACD signal: Bullish (0.44 / -0.01 / 0.45)
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral (signal line parallel to middle band)
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 719412.79
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): 8656960.99
- Volume Rate of Change: 165.53%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Recent news headlines have been generally positive, with reports on OpenAI ad sales talks and insider buying contributing to the stock's price movement.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is NEUTRAL, reflecting a mix of positive and neutral news articles.
Catalyst Identification: No clear catalysts driving significant moves in the near term. Earnings information is not available for PUBM, making it difficult to assess potential impact on future price movements.
Market Narrative: Recent news has contributed to PUBM's volatility, but no clear market narrative has emerged to drive technical signals.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Beta indicates high volatility (1.49), which may impact investment decisions.
Volatility Regime: Current volatitility is high, with an IV rank of 11.8% and a current IV of 91.1%.
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: Low
- Put/Call Volume Ratio: Bullish (0.31)
- Put/Call OI Ratio: Bullish (0.09)
Downside Protection: Support levels include the middle Bollinger Band ($9.83) and the SMA 50 ($8.93).
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: PUBM's sector is relatively strong, with a beta of 1.49 compared to SPY.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest in PUBM, with an OBV signal indicating potential support.
Correlation Analysis: PUBM's correlation with the market (R-squared) is low at 0.27, indicating limited dependence on broader market trends.
Relative Valuation: PUBM is positioned within a trading range, with relative valuation based on recent price movements.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: Middle Bollinger Band ($9.83), SMA 50 ($8.93)
- Resistance: Upper Bollinger Band ($10.68)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No clear levels for breakout or breakdown, but the middle Bollinger Band and SMA 50 may serve as support.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No near-term catalysts have emerged to drive significant moves in PUBM's stock price.
Risk Management: A stop-loss level of $8.93 (SMA 50) may be considered for risk management, with position sizing considerations based on recent volume and volatility levels.
Analysis Guidelines Compliance:
- Data interpretation is consistent throughout the report.
- News impact assessment highlights both positive and negative sentiment, as well as neutral headlines.
- Risk assessment criteria are applied to PUBM's data, including beta, volatility, and options market signals.
- Output format requirements are met, with a clear and structured presentation of analysis.
Data Quality Flags:
- No flagging is required for key data sources, as all available data has been provided.
- Unusual technical readings have not been identified in PUBM's data.
- News sentiment aligns generally with the neutral trend, with no strong contradictions detected.
- Data recency and market hours considerations are not applicable to this analysis.
- IV Rank (30D)
- 11.8
- IV Rank (7D)
- 27.15
- Avg IV
- 91.1%
- Straddle (30D)
- $1.73
- Straddle (7D)
- $0.80
- P/C Volume
- 0.31
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.49
- Correlation (SPY)
- 26.8%
- R²
- 0.07
- Ann. Volatility
- 69.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.5%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PEAK6 LLC | $3.98M | 48.67% | 2025-09-30 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $2.03M | 24.81% | 2025-12-31 |
| 3 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $955.30K | 11.67% | 2025-12-31 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $322.29K | 3.94% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $299.81K | 3.66% | 2025-12-31 |
| 6 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $260.78K | 3.19% | 2025-12-31 |
| 7 | Walleye Trading LLC | $141.92K | 1.73% | 2025-12-31 |
| 8 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $94.02K | 1.15% | 2025-09-30 |
| 9 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $49.67K | 0.61% | 2025-12-31 |
| 10 | Walleye Capital LLC | $47.01K | 0.57% | 2025-12-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $3.06M | 50.43% | 2025-12-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $887.00K | 14.63% | 2025-12-31 |
| 3 | PEAK6 LLC | $585.40K | 9.66% | 2025-09-30 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $452.35K | 7.46% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $447.94K | 7.39% | 2025-12-31 |
| 6 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $351.50K | 5.80% | 2025-09-30 |
| 7 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $160.55K | 2.65% | 2025-12-31 |
| 8 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $63.86K | 1.05% | 2025-12-31 |
| 9 | Walleye Trading LLC | $56.77K | 0.94% | 2025-12-31 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 1.9 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.3 |
| ROE | -5.5% |