SAP SE (SAP) Stock Quote & Options Analysis | Frenzy Capital

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$163.13
Pre-market $173.92 +6.54%
52-Week Range
$160.66 – $313.28
YTD
-31.15%
IV Rank (30D)
92.56
Straddle Price
$20.35
P/C Vol Ratio
1.27
Market Cap
$206.0B
Info
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$206.0B

Founded in Germany in 1972 by former IBM employees, SAP is the world's largest provider of enterprise application software. Known as the leader in enterprise resource planning software, SAP's portfolio also includes software for supply chain management, procurement, travel and expense management, and customer relationship management, among others. The company operates in more than 180 countries and has more than 400,000 customers, approximately 80% of which are small to medium-size enterprises.

Price History
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +2.99% 6
Feb -2.53% 6
Mar -0.10% 6
Apr +0.44% 6
May -0.80% 5
Jun +1.30% 5
Jul +1.60% 5
Aug +0.73% 5
Sep -2.95% 5
Oct +5.49% 5
Nov +2.65% 5
Dec +0.13% 5
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

IndicatorValueSignal
RSI (14)36.2Neutral
MACD-3.284Bearish
SMA 50$184.65Below
SMA 200$240.60Below
Bollinger BandsNeutral
ADX24.8Weak Trend
HV 3037.1%
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: SAP

Executive Summary:

Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)

Key Drivers and Primary Risks:

  • Bearish technical signals from MACD and Stochastic indicators
  • Weakening trend regime as ADX (14) falls to 24.80, indicating a weak trend
  • High volatility and options market pricing a significant move

Investment Thesis: SAP is experiencing a bearish sentiment, driven by the recent news headlines and technical signals. The stock's price action has been trending downwards, with the MACD indicator flashing a bearish signal. Additionally, the Stochastic oscillator is oversold, indicating a potential reversal. However, the high volatility and options market pricing a significant move suggest that there may be more downside risk.

Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent news headlines have been generally positive, but with no significant impact on the stock's price action. The overall sentiment remains bearish.

Technical Analysis:

Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): BEARISH, Medium-term (1-3 months): NEUTRAL, Long-term (3-12 months): BULLISH

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Lower band: $160.79
  • Middle line: $170.68
  • Upper band: $180.58

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI interpretation: OVERSOLD (36.90)
  • MACD signal: BEARISH
  • Bollinger Bands position: MEAN REVERSAL

Volume Analysis: Volume trends indicate a lack of buying pressure, with the On-Balance Volume (OBV) showing a decline.

News & Sentiment Analysis:

Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines have been generally positive, with no significant impact on the stock's price action. However, the tone has been neutral to positive, which may be contributing to the bearish sentiment.

Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment: NEUTRAL

Catalyst Identification: No specific catalysts identified in the recent news headlines.

Market Narrative: The market narrative is that SAP's price action is driven by a combination of technical and fundamental factors, with no clear direction or catalyst for a significant move.

Risk & Volatility Assessment:

Beta Interpretation: Moderate volatility (beta: 0.86 vs SPY)

Volatility Regime: Current volatility levels are moderate, but there may be more downside risk.

Options Market Signals: IV rank is high (89.0%), indicating historically high volatility. The options market is pricing a significant move ($19.90), which may increase the potential for sharp price movements.

Downside Protection: Support level: $160.79

Market Context & Positioning:

Sector Performance: SAP's performance has been relatively weak compared to its sector and market peers.

Institutional Activity: No specific institutional activity or volume patterns suggesting significant buying or selling pressure.

Correlation Analysis: SAP's price action is moderately correlated with the market (R-squared interpretation).

Relative Valuation: The stock is trading within a neutral range, with no clear valuation signal.

Key Levels & Action Items:

Critical Price Levels:

  • Lower band: $160.79
  • Middle line: $170.68

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No specific levels identified as potential breakout or breakdown points.

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No specific catalysts identified in the near term.

Risk Management: Consider setting a stop-loss at $165.00 and adjusting position size accordingly.

Please note that this is just an example report, and actual analysis may vary based on specific data and market conditions.

Generated 2026-04-23 15:23 UTC
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
92.56
IV Rank (7D)
100
Avg IV
69.5%
Straddle (30D)
$20.35
Straddle (7D)
$16.05
P/C Volume
1.27
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
0.83
Correlation (SPY)
33.8%
R²
0.11
Ann. Volatility
30.8%
SPY Volatility
12.6%

Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.