What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Justin Bieber

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (187d) 24h volume 7 Open interest 1.2K Event Who will have a #1 hit this year?

22%

implied YES probability

Last 14 days · High 26% · Low 13% · 7d -16.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.