What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Luke Combs

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (186d) 24h volume 31 Open interest 2.6K Event Who will have a #1 hit this year?

15%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 25% · Low 11% · 7d +25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.