What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Post Malone

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (187d) 24h volume 172 Open interest 4.4K Event Who will have a #1 hit this year?

56%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 61 days · High 57% · Low 39% · 7d -5.3pp · 30d +25.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.