What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Zara Larsson

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (186d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 1.7K Event Who will have a #1 hit this year?

14%

implied YES probability

Last 24 days · High 28% · Low 10% · 7d -54.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.