What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 3.75

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (138d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 2.0K Event US gas prices on Election Day

38%

implied YES probability

-37.0pp 24h

Last 36 days · High 83% · Low 23% · 7d -64.6pp · 30d -51.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.