What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.00

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 2.2K Event US gas prices on Election Day

36%

implied YES probability

Last 29 days · High 91% · Low 28% · 7d -21.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.