What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Dec 1, 2026

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume 9.5K Open interest 34.8K Event When will Anthropic release Mythos?

14%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 41 days · High 95% · Low 2% · 7d -41.7pp · 30d -74.6pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 23.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.