What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (106d) 24h volume 2.2K Open interest 29.1K Event When will Anthropic release Mythos?

8%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 94% · Low 8% · 7d -90.4pp · 30d -84.2pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 19.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.