What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Jan 1, 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 11.0K Open interest 39.7K Event When will Anthropic release Mythos?

15%

implied YES probability

Last 36 days · High 95% · Low 11% · 7d -82.1pp · 30d -80.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 27.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.