What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Nov 1, 2026

Closes Nov 01, 2026 (137d) 24h volume 2.2K Open interest 30.7K Event When will Anthropic release Mythos?

12%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 34 days · High 94% · Low 9% · 7d -42.1pp · 30d -79.2pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 13.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.