What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jul 10, 2026

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (23d) 24h volume 4.6K Open interest 2.3K Event When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?

72%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 70% · Low 70%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.