What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jul 31, 2026

Closes Jul 31, 2026 (43d) 24h volume 919 Open interest 799 Event When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?

84%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 87% · Low 87%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.