What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 79%, implying a 79% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jul 24, 2026

Closes Jul 24, 2026 (36d) 24h volume 728 Open interest 291 Event When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?

79%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 88% · Low 81%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.