What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before Dec 1, 2026

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume 3.8K Open interest 21.0K Event When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

56%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 71 days · High 98% · Low 25% · 7d -30.5pp · 30d +128.0pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 83.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.