What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before Sep 1, 2026

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (75d) 24h volume 127 Open interest 70.0K Event When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

implied YES probability

Last 67 days · High 73% · Low 4% · 7d -30.8pp · 30d +28.6pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 12.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.