What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (60d) 24h volume 56 Open interest 28.5K Event When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 64 days · High 66% · Low 5% · 7d +16.7pp · 30d -72.0pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 54.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.