What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

At least 1.8M bpd

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (3d) 24h volume 7 Open interest 495 Event Iran crude oil production in Jun 2026

90%

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 94% · Low 45%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.