What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

At least 2.0M bpd

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (3d) 24h volume 198 Open interest 1.2K Event Iran crude oil production in Jun 2026

52%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 68% · Low 27% · 7d +36.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.