kalshi Elections

Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

3
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 26 Open interest 11.7K Event How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
17%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 35 days · High 23% · Low 10% · 7d +14.3pp · 30d +14.3pp
23%10%

Other outcomes in this event

Recent news mentioning this market

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.