What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above $1.0 trillion

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (175d) 24h volume 130 Open interest 365 Event Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

42%

implied YES probability

-17.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 85% · Low 41% · 7d -50.6pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.