What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 100,000

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 1.0K Event Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

40%

implied YES probability

Last 17 days · High 59% · Low 26% · 7d -21.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.