What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 20,000

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 35 Open interest 485 Event Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

90%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 93% · Low 68% · 7d +23.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.