What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 125,000

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 4 Open interest 5.6K Event Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

30%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 52% · Low 23% · 7d -36.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.