What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 21, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Andrew Oldham

Closes Jan 21, 2029 (926d) 24h volume 70 Open interest 14.8K Event Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

20%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 22% · Low 2% · 7d +22.2pp · 30d +120.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.