What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 21, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Ted Cruz

Closes Jan 21, 2029 (926d) 24h volume 768 Open interest 19.5K Event Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

4%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 29 days · High 10% · Low 1% · 7d -24.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.