What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 21, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Amul Thapar

Closes Jan 21, 2029 (926d) 24h volume 876 Open interest 11.1K Event Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

6%

implied YES probability

+0.6pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 11% · Low 4% · 7d -62.7pp · 30d -62.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.