What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

3-4 AM

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 274 Open interest 1.3K Event Trump late night post this week? (7/5-7/11)

21%

implied YES probability

-25.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 36% · Low 20%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.