What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

4-5 AM

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 198 Open interest 1.2K Event Trump late night post this week? (7/5-7/11)

32%

implied YES probability

-17.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 30% · Low 24%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.